Tom Stryker’s Free Baseball Play September 22nd


#972 SAN DIEGO with Davies (-160) over LA Angels with Canning at 9:10 PM EST
Off a win over the Mariners and a day of rest, the Padres will stay hot and grab another victory under the Tuesday night lights. San Diego is 4.0-games back in the NL West and the Friars have absolutely no margin for error right now.

Right-hander Zach Davies will hit the hump for the home team. In his last four outings against the Dodgers, Rockies, A’s and Colorado (again), No. 17 was nicked for only six earned runs and 22 hits in 24.2 innings. Davies whiffed 24 and walked nine on his way to a solid 3-1 mark with a nice 2.19 ERA. Overall, Zach has been “Mr. Consistency” for the Padres this season. With 10 starts in the bank, Davies has been tapped for only 18 earned runs and 45 hits in 60.1 frames. That’s good enough for a 7-3 tally with a tremendous 2.69 ERA.

Countering for the Halos will be righty Griffin Canning. Matched up against the Diamondbacks and Rockies in his last two starts, No. 47 was nipped for four earned runs and 13 hits in 10.2 innings. Canning fanned 12 and walked three en route to a 1-0 mark with a 3.38 ERA. Unfortunately, the road hasn’t been kind to Griffin. On foreign soil, Canning has been crushed for 10 earned runs and 20 hits in 18.2 frames. That’s bad enough for an 0-2 record with an elevated 4.82 ERA.

There are several elite angles that support this Best Bet. San Diego has won 15 of its last 17 in the first game of a series, four straight coming off a day of rest and 21 of its last 26 priced as home chalk. On the other side of the white line, Los Angeles has dropped 71 of its last 104 games priced as a road pup, 42 of its last 60 battling a right-handed starter and 23 of its last 34 coming off a win.

Petco Park has been kind to the Friars this season and they’ll likely need to win out to have any shot at the division title. Take San Diego with Davies. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

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