TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 12TH
#839 FLORIDA (-) over Texas A&M at 8:30 PM EST
Currently in the midst of a woeful 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS run and off Saturday’s surprising 17-point road loss at Mississippi, Florida will travel to College Station on Wednesday and destroy this soft Texas A&M squad. The Aggies enter off an ugly 20-point loss at South Carolina and they’re in position to get pounded once again here.
According to the History Book, UF has played well in this series notching a reliable 8-4 SU and 7-4-1 ATS mark in the last 12 meetings. Also, as a guest taking the court without confidence off a straight up loss, the Gators hold a strong 49-31-2 ATS record including a powerful 26-13-1 ATS tally in this set provided they own a pointspread won/loss percentage less than .500. In addition, on the road arriving off a blowout loss of 15 points or more, Florida has been a cash cow notching a rewarding 10-2 ATS mark in its last 12 tries.
Texas A&M has experienced a little trouble as an SEC host too posting a weak 11-18 ATS record in its last 29 lined games. In this situation priced as an underdog or a favorite of -4.5 or less, the Aggies slip all the way down to a nasty 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS. There is a strong conference situation that works against “Tammy” too. Since March 5th, 2016, SEC hosts that take the court off a straight up loss own a feeble 47-63-1 ATS record provided they are battling a conference foe that arrives off a straight up loss as well. Surprisingly, if our “play against” host is fighting with revenge of any kind, this SEC situation slips all the way down to a woeful 20-36 ATS including a nasty 3-14 ATS provided both teams arrive off double-digit blowout losses. That spells trouble for the Aggies.
Off the blemish to the Rebels, look for the Gators to light it up from downtown (UF leads the SEC from 3-point land shooing .363) and run away with this one. Take Florida. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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