TOM STRYKER’S FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL SELECTION WEDNESDAY, MARCH 27TH
#626 NC STATE (-) over Lipscomb at 9 PM EST
With a ticket to the Big Apple on the line, NC State will take care of business when Lipscomb visits on Wednesday night. Since losing by 20 in the ACC Quarterfinals to Virginia, the Wolfpack have bounced back with a pair of wins over Hofstra and Harvard in the NIT and they’ll use the strength of their homecourt to grab this SU and ATS victory.
If you plan on fading State inside the friendly confines of James T. Valvano Arena when matched up against a non-conference opponent, you may want to reconsider. In Raleigh running the floor against teams outside of the ACC, head coach Kevin Keatts’ kids have quietly posted a jaw-dropping 34-1 SU record in their last 35 tries. Equally impressive, since 1993, NIT hosts in the quarterfinal round own a reliable 15-7 SU and 14-8 ATS record provided they take the court off a pointspread loss. If our “play on” host is favored by -7 or less, this postseason situation improves to a rewarding 13-4 SU and 12-5 ATS.
Off back-to-back straight up road dog wins at Davidson and NC Greensboro, this trip to ACC Country will be a difficult one for Lipscomb. Since 2008, the Bisons have faced five teams from the ACC and lost all five games by margins of 20, 14, 18, 4 and 17 points respectively. That’s an average blemish of 14.6 points per game. Also, since 2006, NIT Tournament teams seeded at No. 5 or higher that take the court off a straight up underdog win own a stiff 9-28 SU and 14-22-1 ATS record provided their opponent holds a team won/loss percentage less than .700.
With the assistance of a bench that is averaging a stunning 29.2 points per game, the Wolfpack with their ACC-pedigree will advance to the NIT Semifinals with a solid victory on Wednesday night. Take NC State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
Counting last night’s blemish on Creighton, Stryker’s March Madness run now stands at 13-1 ATS in his last 14 selections. This elite “Little Dance” Best Bet is supported by two solid technical situations that sport 28-10 ATS and 39-15 ATS records. Grab Tom’s NIT Ultimate Database Wager for $25.