TOM STRYKER’S FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL SELECTION TUESDAY, MARCH 12TH
#609 APPALACHIAN ST (+) over Louisiana-Monroe at 8 PM EST
Off a surprising home loss to South Alabama at home in its final regular season game, Appalachian State will stroll right into Fant-Ewing Coliseum on Tuesday night and pull off this minor upset. After losing two straight, ULM picked up a surprising 17-point road win at Arkansas Little Rock in its last game and this is way too many points for the Warhawks to be laying in this Sun Belt Conference Tournament battle.
Based on the way the regular season ended, the Mountaineers apply to a postseason technical situation that boasts a reliable 101-62 ATS record for 62.1 percent. In addition, in the Sun Belt Conference Tournament before the quarterfinal round, underdogs hold a lucrative 22-14 ATS record provided they hit the hardwood off a straight up loss. If our “play on” pup is grabbing +2.5 or more, this situation tightens up to a powerful 20-10 ATS including a nearly perfect 11-1 ATS if their opponent carries a pointspread won/loss percentage of .501 or better. That bodes well for App State (and Arkansas State).
Louisiana Monroe got out of the gate hot this year but stumbled down the stretch posting a soft 5-7 SU and ATS record in its final 12 regular season games. To make matters worse, the Warhawks have been at their financial worst when checking in off a straight up win posting a weak 16-25 SU and 14-15-1 ATS record. In this role running the floor against a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage less than .482, ULM drops to a disturbing 0-6-1 ATS. Finally, when favored by -1.5 points or more and fighting an opponent that arrives off a straight up loss, the Warhawks carry a timid 14-24 ATS mark including a nasty 8-21 ATS in this setting if their opponent owns a team won/loss percentage less than .460.
The last three meetings between the Mountaineers and Warhawks were decided by margins of six, one and six points respectively. At -7.5 points, ULM is laying way too many. Take Appalachian State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
Off a rare 0-2 ATS night on the hardwood, Stryker is back with one 3* Best Bet that will deliver the mail. Three incredible conference tournament systems support this selection along with two power angles that own solid marks of 34-8 ATS and 10-0 ATS. Grab Tom’s Conference Tournament Elite Wager for $25.