TOM STRYKER’S FREE NBA SELECTION FEBRUARY 1ST
#590 DENVER (-) over Houston at 10:05 PM EST
The Nuggets have played the Rockets twice this season and suffered double-digit losses in both games. Currently on a woeful 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS run in this series, Denver will finally step up and make a statement when Houston comes to town on Friday night.
Inside the Pepsi Center, the Nuggets have played extremely well in their last 33 games posting a strong 29-4 SU and 21-12 ATS record. Amazingly, in this role checking in with confidence off a blowout win of six points or more, Denver holds an eye-popping 12-0 SU and ATS mark and has quietly won those 12 contests by an average of 15.3 points per game. Equally impressive, in the Rocky Mountains fighting with same season revenge, the Nuggets have put together a reliable 26-10 SU and 23-13 ATS record including a superb 17-1 SU and 15-3 ATS mark in this set provided they were on the road last. Finally, when returning home off two or more on a foreign court, head coach Michael Malone’s kids sport a strong 15-4 SU and 13-6 ATS record including 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS in this set provided this is a conference game.
Checking in off a rough five-point home loss to New Orleans and with a huge battle at Utah on tap for Saturday night, this quick trip to Denver will be a tough spot for Houston. For starters, the Rockets have imploded on the road lately notching a soft 12-21 ATS record in their last 33 games. Provided Houston is running into same season revenge, this team trend slips down to a miserable 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS. Also, when hitting the road off the comforts of three or more home games, the Rockets own a timid 18-25 SU and 18-24-1 ATS mark including a nasty 7-20 SU and 9-18 ATS in this set if they’re competing against an opponent that holds a team won/loss percentage of .470 or better. With those two parameters live and Houston matched up against a foe that arrives off a straight up win, this situation falls to a surprising 2-13 SU and 3-12 ATS.
Resting one-game behind the Warriors for the top spot in the Western Conference, the Nuggets will stay in the hunt with a huge revenge win and cover over the Rockets. Take Denver. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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