Believe it or not, there are only three games left in the NFL regular season. Time flies when you’re having fun and making money!
At this time of the year, you really need to wager with caution. Teams usually fall into three distinct categories. You have those that are in the playoffs and trying to position themselves accordingly, others that are in need of wins and a little luck that are knocking on the postseason door and those that are out of it completely.
I’ve spent a ton of time handicapping the end of the NFL regular season and found a number of excellent investment opportunities. This week’s late-season situation looks at those pro football teams that finish with back-to-back home games. Take a look at this handicapping beauty.
Since 1980, PLAY AGAINST any game 14 regular season guest that carries a team won/loss percentage less than .600 provided they close with back-to-back home battles in their final two games.
38 Year ATS Record = 56-24-3 ATS for 70.0 percent.
This Week’s Play = NEW YORK GIANTS
This is a simple scheduling situation in the NFL that obviously works like a charm. Here we have a barely above average-to-poor team competing in their last regular season road game looking ahead to a pair of battles in their own backyard to finish.
There is one additional parameter that can be added to this situation to increase its profitability. If our “play against” guest faced an opponent that owned a team won/loss percentage less than .700 in their last game (so no elite opposition), this late-season situation falls to a miserable 18-47-2 ATS. Tennessee hosts the Redskins and Colts in its last two games and enter off an impressive blowout win over a Jaguars bunch that owned a 4-8 SU record. That means the Titans fit this negative wagering situation perfectly.
The G-Men are playing their best football of the season (4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five) and they’ll give the visiting Titans all they can handle and more on Sunday. Good luck with New York!