Every sport has one. That team that gets down to their final game and simply wants nothing more than the season to come to an end. There could be a number of reasons why – injuries, poor play, bad luck and even terrible coaching. Regardless, this towel-tosser can provide us with a number of solid money-making opportunities.
On this short holiday week, I took a quick look at the Team Stryker Database at college football teams that were playing in their last game. My first thought was to take a stone cold loser and see how they performed against a team that was going places. It took a little elbow grease. But, I was able to come up with a tremendous college system that we will definitely be able to use to turn a profit. Check out this gem:
Since 1980, PLAY AGAINST any college football home team playing in their last regular season game provided they own a team won/loss percentage less than .333, take the field off two or more straight up losses and are lined up against an opponent that arrives off a SU and ATS win.
38 Year ATS Record = 52-24-1 ATS for 68.4 percent.
This Week’s Play’s = EASTERN MICHIGAN, TEXAS, GEORGIA SOUTHERN, WYOMING and ARKANSAS ST
This is truly a simple set of parameters that churns out winner after winner. There are a couple of pieces that we can add to this puzzle that make the situation even better. Provided our “play against” host is priced as an underdog or a favorite of -4 or less and is not off a blowout loss of 38 points or more, this system falls to a jaw-dropping 13-42-1 ATS. All five home teams – Kent, Kansas, Georgia State, New Mexico and Texas State apply to this tightener.
There is one more parameter that can be added to that last situation that really makes this system pop. With our 13-42-1 ATS in hand, this handicapping tool falls to a disturbing 1-19-1 ATS provided our “play against” side holds an ATS won/loss percentage greater than .400. Only three hosts apply to that nearly golden situation: Kent, Kansas and Texas State.
Good luck with Eastern Michigan (Friday), Texas (Friday) and Arkansas State (Saturday) on this Thanksgiving weekend!