We are at the heart of the college football season and a number of teams are cranking their games up a notch.
The elite programs rarely take their foot off the gas. So, we’re not going to look at the best-of-the-best. This System of the Week takes a look at those schools that are still on the fence and in need of a huge win to jump-start a season-ending push that will hopefully lead to a quality bowl bid.
At game seven, a college team will most likely have five games left. Schools that carried a record of 0-6 SU all the way up to 3-3 SU were analyzed – so basically all of those teams that were at game seven and .500 or worse. A number of strong investments sets were found. The one I am about to share with you was the best. Take a look.
Since 1980, PLAY ON any Game 7 non-rested home favorite priced at -12 or more provided they own a 3-3 SU record and enter off a road game.
37 Year ATS Record = 36-15-1 ATS for 70.5 percent
This Week’s Play’s = OHIO UNIVERSITY & MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
Here we have a team playing in their own backyard matched up against an opponent that they should be able to easily handle. This “play on” squad isn’t one of college football’s worst either. This is a program that is on the brink of success and in desperate need of one victory that will immediately make them a winning football team.
There is one special parameter that can be added to this situation that really makes it pop. If our host is lined up against an opponent that takes the field off a loss or a straight up win of six points or less, this system explodes to an eye-popping 33-9-1 ATS for 78.5{98f2b46702b964aa2f621cb1b604d81e6a02f7a689ec244db25f4c0c4ad46cb7}. Ohio holds a 3-3 SU record, it is favored by -17-points and the Bobcats are facing a Falcons bunch that enters off a 7-point blemish to Western Michigan.
Off the loss to the Huskies in DeKalb and with a Thursday night home war against the Cardinals on deck, Hunter Green & White head coach Frank Solich won’t mess around in this MAC East contest. Good luck with Ohio!