If you like to invest your hard-earned money on college football favorites, you always run the risk of having your team win on the scoreboard and lose at the window. It’s frustrating. I get it. I’ve been handicapping football games since 1984 and I’ve had my fair share of favorites grab the “W” straight up on the field and hand me the ATS loss.
Over the years, I’ve learned not to let that blemish affect me the following week. When a college football favorite burns your wallet, there is a tendency to shy away from that team the next time they take the field. Lately, with the help of the Team Stryker Database, I’ve been finding a number of profitable situations that back these favs coming off an ATS loss.
Take a look at the awesome handicapping situation I discovered when putting that theory into play early in the season.
Since 1980, PLAY ON any college football team in game two of the season provided they won straight up at home in their season opener but failed to cover the pointspread by 15 points or more as a favorite in that victory.
38 Year ATS Record = 38-12-3 ATS for 76.0%
This Week’s Play’s = PENN STATE & MICHIGAN STATE
The Nittany Lions and Spartans were both large favorites in their season opener that struggled to simply win the game straight up on the field. PSU was favored by -24.5 or Appalachian State and barely won by seven and MSU laid -23.5 to Utah State and escaped with a seven-point victory. If you had a piece of either State team last week and got burned, you probably don’t want to lay points with either of these two teams especially on the road. This college football system demands that you do!
There is one tightener that can be added to this situation that makes it even better. If the team we are playing against is not competing in their season opener, this college football system improves to a rewarding 34-9-3 ATS for 79.0 percent. Both Penn State and Michigan State fit this elite tightener. (Pittsburgh played Albany and Arizona State battled Texas San Antonio last weekend.)
Best of luck with the Nittany Lions and Spartans on Saturday!